MANILA TIMES RUBBER INDUSTRY REPORT PUBLISHED ON JUNE 30, 2004 BY: MANILA TIMES RESEARCH DEPT. (Edited Version by PRIA)

Rubber Industry Stretches Viability

"It's dead. How can you revive a dead duck?" said Elpidio Carlota, president of the Philippine Rubber Industry Association (PRIA).

Yet his gloomy outlook could not hide the flicker of hope. "Instead of just sitting and waiting for things to happen, we have seen it fit to be proactive and directly involve ourselves in finding the solutions to these problems" Carlota said.

The rubber farm operators are becoming more pessimistic as they accused the government of remaining unresponsive to their concerns. Citing a PRIA report, Carlota said the Philippines placed sixth among top Asean producers and exporters of rubber. Thailand ranked first followed by Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam and Sir Lanka.

Last year, however the Philippines was 12th among the world's rubber suppliers, producing 69,000 metric tons of rubber of 0.92 percent share of the world's demand. It exports 60 percent of its total production to Malaysia and Thailand, while the remaining portion is sold locally.

Low investments costly labor, high power rates and the potential areas that remain unexplored for rubber tree planting are some of the major drawbacks impairing the industry's momentum to go head strong in the international market. "We never had the momentum to grow" Carlota said.

After years of frustration, rubber players have decided to initiate their own move to prevent the Industry from further going down the hill.

In the last fifteen years, the government has attempted to address the problem of agriculture Land redistribution through Republic Act 6655 or the Comprehensive Agrarian Reform Law (CARL).

However, many agriculture experts consider the law as the wrong prescription for the ailing Rubber industry because it does not treat the rubber landowners or the farmer fairly

Since the agrarian reform program dictates that land ownership per farer is limited to five hectares Carlota blamed the current legal framework as the impediment in tapping the potential of 500,000 hectares of land that could be reserved to rubber farming.

In an effort to attract more foreign investors, PRIA has been pushing the proposal to increase the land ownership to a maximum 50 hectares since the administration of then President Fidel Ramos.

Also while tree cutting by the tenants was allowed, there were no legislative measures directing the replanting. Neither was there enough lobbying and political support to push for its realization. "Because there were no backers in the industry replanting was not done," Carlota said.

Since a rubber tree takes six to seven years to mature it is necessary to come up with projects that will focus on replanting activities on rubber plantations If this issue is not addressed the country will be a net importer of rubber in the near future.

Wrong remedy

"Curing different sicknesses with the same medicine is not right look at what happened? rubber plantation owner, asked as he accused the government of buying his lands at an unreasonable price. He said the government failed to take consideration that the sale of rubber tree trunks alone could generate P60,000.

For every hectare of his 140-hectare rubber plantation in Mindanao, Amado Dee was offered P14,000. Knowing that the price was too low, he filed a case and fought for 14 years before getting an offer of P47,000 only this year.

"That was crazy. Those prices were too low but it takes too long to fight so I compromised" Amado Dee said.

Amado Dee stressed that landowners were not the ones affected by CARL but also the farmers. He explained for instance that corn and cocoa farms take only three months before a farmer could harvest the produce. On the other hand, a rubber tree takes six years before it can be of use. Unlike other farmers who received daily wages from landowners rubber farming becomes a more difficult option. "Six years is too long for the farmers how can they eat?" Amado Dee said.

In order to survive the difficult years, majority of the farmers either sold the land awarded to them or shifted to planting other crops, which reduced rubber plantations. "We are already short of plantation and still continue to narrow down" Amado Dee said.

Senile Trees

Mindanao provides the largest tracts of land devoted to rubber plantations. In 1997, total number of hectares was estimated at 92,000 hectares. The cultivated areas, however, are gradually diminishing. The Bureau of Agricultural Statistics showed that in 2003 preliminary figures for the total land area is 80,144 hectares compared with 81,087 hectares in 2002. because no new investors came in, the senile or unproductive trees were never replaced.

Out of the total number of rubber trees in the country, 75 percent are 40 years old and above or those categorized senile. To replace them, a cost of P140,000 for 400 seedlings and other inputs is required for every hectare The amount is exclusive of maintenance cost to be incurred in the next 35 years. This is the average lifespan of a rubber tree before it could be ready for replanting to keep the desired quality of its latex.

Farmers resort to loans extended by the Land Bank of the Philippines to meet the financial requirement of cultivating rubber. However, with the farmers' limited management skills and other everyday needs, the credit cannot guarantee relief. On the contrary it has even aggravated their situation because of the unpaid debts.

Several unscrupulous traders are still take advantage of the farers' woes. Farmers were reported to be selling their produce at around two thirds of the production cost. "Their prices are being manipulated by a group of traders, that made them sell their product at a loss," said Landbanks's Mindanao region head Edwin Pantaleta.

Lower Tariffs

Although bringing down the tariff help the purchasing power of the domestic market, The government failed to forsee its negative implications on the local manufacturers, particularly the small ones. Carlota felt that the government should have looked into the whole picture before bringing down the import duties.

To comply with the provisions of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), the government lowered the rubber tariff by more than 30 percent. Current import duties imposed on footwear and tires are pegged at 15 percent and 10 percent, respectively. Previously, importers were the corresponding 35 percent and 25 percent.

The GATT also requires strict compliance with international standards such as pricing of rubber. When this took effect, more rubber companies stopped local operations.

"A lot of businesses transferred (abroad). In Mariveles, Bataan there used to be a lot of shoe manufacturers. They went to Indonesia and Sri Lanka because of that problem. They were minimizing on the cost of labor" Carlota said.

To survive the stiff competition, a number of footwear firms have already shifted to Importation. The more desperate ones resorted to smuggling of low-quality rubber mostly coming from China.

Badly needed investments

Carlota emphasized that if the country wishes to produce more rubber the solution lies In attracting more investors "Most of the areas for rubber fall in Mindanao. No one would invest for security reasons." He is also worried that there are more rubber companies closing down and no investors coming in.

Carlota recalled that in the mid-nineties, the investment of the three international tire makers - Sime Darby, Firestone and MSF - also known as the "Big Three" gave the industry a major boost.

The rubber crisis, however, dashed hopes of a promising future and eventually the companies closed down and the output of the Philippines further deteriorated. "From that point onwards, it was downhill" said Carlota. "Other products of rubber had never really taken off".

Dollar receipts decreased by half to $18 million in 2002 from $36 million in the late nineties Prior to the crisis, rubber firms employed more than 22,000 workers, excluding farmers. Because of the crisis only 15,000 workers remain. "A lot of people lost their jobs, and it is us employers who are taking the blame" Carlota said.

Todate, Goodyear and Yokohama are the only major foreign automotive tire companies active in the trade. Although an exporter and importer of rubber, Yokohama avoids selling to the local market as outward shipments are more profitable.

Rubber products are classified as: industrial (conveyor belts, rubber rollers); automotive Products (fan belts radiator hoses); latex (rubber gloves baby feeding nipples, balloons), and adhesives. Tire and footwear industries are the major users of natural rubber.

Departure of giant firms also contributed to the decision of farmers to shift to other crops as local demand become unstable. In the early eighties major tire manufacturers including Goodyear, Firestones, BF Goodrich operated rubber plantations ranging from 2,000 to 3000 hectares in the country "These investors are the ones capable of sustaining growth in the industry because they have the money", said Ernesto Villafuerte head of the secretariat of rubber sub-committee of the National Agriculture and Fisheries Council (NAFC).

In a rubber industry roadmap released by PRIA early this year, the organization stressed The plan to establish a National Rubber Industry Development Board (NRDB) as its final Goal. Unfortunately, this never materialized because of insufficient funds. "The government really has no money for this", Villafuerte said.

In a limited capacity, PRIA members are focusing on trade missions, forums and exhibit To further promote Philippine rubber. The organization has also engaged the support of foreign trade groups such as the Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) to improve processes and technological knowledge in manufacturing of rubber products.

Small Steps

Had industry participants not initiated certain moves to perk up their sagging enterprise their businesses could have been totally wiped out earlier.

Amado Dee spearheaded the establishment of cooperatives to guide the farmers in making sound decisions on marketing and other managerial undertakings. Small processing plants for other cooperatives were also established to improve the income of the farmers and add further value to farm goods. "They will not make much money if they're going to sell it raw" he said.

"Farmers are beginning to make money, improve their lives and send their children to school. They are already paying their debts," Pantaleta said.

Data from LBP's Basilan branch showed that outstanding loans of rubber cooperatives grew 13.68 percent to 108 million in 2003 from 95 million in 2000 with an annual Increase of two percent.

"We've got to help each other or we'll continue to suffer" Amado Dee said.

Large exports of rubber threaten local production

A rubber trader warned that the current trend to mass export natural rubber would effect production costs of the local rubber-manufacturing in the country has been declining since the past decade, the supply crunch is worsening the situation for local companies.

"Right now, the local market price is even better than the export market because of the artificial supply shortage", said Amado Dee of the rubber trading company Pioneer Enterprises. However, he observed that majority of natural rubber farmers still prefer to export abroad because of faster payment schedules. He said the local producers sometimes take 120 days to process fund disbursement.

The country's rubber produce goes straight to foreign markets by the bulk while local manufacturers are faced with bloated production costs. Increased rubber demand brought by the giant strides of the Chinese economy pushed market prices to five folds.

Dee said natural rubber prices jacked up from P7 per kilo two years ago to its present P35 per kilo tag. He noted that Phlippine rubber is enjoying high demand abroad because of its cheaper price compared to leading exporters like Thailand and Malaysia, which have quality-monitored products.

"Our price is lower than our competitors". They command almost 20 percent more than the price of Philippine rubber" Dee said. He also observed that exporters capitalize on the comparably lower- grade produce of the country that is sold at a cheaper but still highly profitable price. Leading destinations on top of exporters' list are Malaysian and fast-industrializing Chinese markets.

Natural rubber, or the dried sap of the rubber tree mixed in with certain chemical compounds, is the semi-processed form sold to manufacturers for commercial purposes. A significant percentage of is used for tire manufacturing. It is also utilized in the production of automotive rubber parts, machine belts, shoe soles, garters and the like.

"We export because the foreign market can buy our rubber at a higher price," remarked Carlota. "Rubber (Processing) is growing because there is a shortage worldwide."

For his part, Dee is convinced that the local industry's future is paved with better prospects for growth due to improved dollar export receipts.

True enough, foreign sales for natural rubber steadily climbed up in the last couple of years. Latest figures from the National Statistics office showed January to 'April foreign receipts for natural rubber amounted to $11 million, a 43 percent increase from the $7.8 million same period a year ago.

The Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) also recorded a gradual expansion of natural rubber shares in the country's total foreign shipments. First quarter data showed natural rubber shares pegged at 0.09 percent of total export, up from the 5-year average share of 0.05 percent during the same period.

This may support the projection of the London-based International Rubber Study Group (IRSG) that world rubber demand would rise 3.3 percent this year and 5 percent in 2005.

Although the economy of the main rubber importers - United States and Japan improved with corresponding growth rates of 4.2 percent and 5.6 percent in the first quarter of 2004, IRSG fears the impact of the oil price increase and the tight credit policies of financial institutions on consumer spending.

It further warned of "possibility that the Chinese economy is overheating and that any subsequent controlled soft-landing could have an adverse impact upon her neighbors is fast coming more concrete. All these factors make for a future that is uncertain."

 

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